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der a German offensive possible--even probable--in the near future. The Germans are certainly making new formations; the 38th Corps has been identified in Bavaria. "3. Our front must therefore be made absolutely secure. If broken, for example, about Roye and Montdidier, the consequences for the Allies would be of the most serious description. "4. In addition to (3) we must place ourselves in the position of being able to assume the offensive. "5. Because of (3) and (4), reserves are absolutely necessary. "6. For these reasons, I am anxious for a rapid release of the Corps north of the British line. "7. We must never lose sight of the decisive result, and all secondary operations must give way. "8. Operations towards Ostend--Zeebrugge, though important, are, for the moment, secondary, and in my opinion should follow rather than precede the principal action, viz., the Collection of Reserves. "To resume:-- (_a_) To beat the enemy it is necessary to have Reserves. (_b_) These Reserves can only come from the north, as British reinforcements set them free. (_c_) The German menace, not a vain thing, makes it necessary to collect these Reserves in the shortest possible time. (_d_) The main object, viz., the defeat of the enemy, makes it necessary to delay the offensive towards Ostend--Zeebrugge." I always disagreed with these views, and remain convinced that my plans should have been accepted and tried. I will only add, as a further argument against embarking upon operations in other theatres of war, that our military forces at that time, and for at least fifteen months afterwards, were not sufficient to enable us to carry on great operations in more than one theatre with the necessary power and energy required for success. They could only have resulted in what actually happened in 1915, viz., the series of feeble and on the whole unsuccessful attempts to break through the German line in France, and an absolute failure, compelling ultimate withdrawal of our troops, in the Dardanelles. I have dealt at perhaps wearisome length with the strategic alternatives and the problems which presented themselves for solution after the close of the First Battle of Ypres. It has been necessary to do so in order that my countrymen may understand the situation as it actually existed at the time, and that they may appreciate what seemed to me conclusive reasons why greater progress
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