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29, p. 17. Census Bureau. [18] _Negro Population in U. S., 1790-1915_, Bureau of Census, pp. 69-70. [19] _Negro Population in U. S., 1790-1915_, Bureau of Census, p. 65. [20] Scroggs, W. D., _Jour. Pol. Econ._, 25: 1038, D. '17. [21] _Ibid._, D. '17. [22] Woodson, C. G., _A Century of Negro Migration_, pp. 123-4. [23] _Negro Population in the U. S., 1790-1915_, p. 65. [24] Haynes, G. E., _New York Times_, Nov. 12, 1916, II, 12: 1. CHAPTER III SOURCE, VOLUME, DESTINATION, AND COMPOSITION The exodus of the Negroes during the years from 1916 to 1918 occurred with such suddenness and attained such an immense volume that for a time it appeared to many observers that the whole "Black Belt" was shifting itself northward. Inasmuch as at the very time this migration reached its zenith this country had just entered into a state of war with Germany, it attracted almost nation-wide attention, and from some quarters the fear was that it would have the effect, either directly or indirectly, of obstructing the National Government in its prosecution of the war. Numerous also were the apprehensions of the economic, political, and social problems that might follow in the wake of this movement. On almost every hand, therefore, the discussions concerning this migration became legion, and varying were the opinions expressed regarding its causes and its probable effects upon the sections of the country involved and upon the migrants themselves. It is uncertain as to the exact time when this movement began, because it was going on some time before any notice was taken of it. It is known, however, that conditions favorable to its beginning were manifest shortly after the outbreak of the European War, when, on account of this catastrophe, immigration practically ceased and thousands of alien laborers departed for their native lands. This caused a serious labor shortage in the Northern industries, and in order to obviate this employers, during the spring of 1915, sent agents into the South to seek Negro laborers. If, as a result of the efforts of these agents, Negroes were induced to go North, then the number of those who moved was so small and in such scattered instances as to make it unworthy of being called a migration. This view is taken because it was not until nearly a year afterward that Negroes began to move in numbers sufficiently large to attract public notice. The Negro migration in its truest sense,
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