t of promises made
to her, a supervision which Serbia refused. This, in the eyes of
the Secretary of State, is the cardinal point. I answered Herr
von Jagow that Serbia, as she wished to remain independent, was
bound to reject the control of a single power, but that an
International Commission would not have the same character. The
Balkan States have more than one, for instance the Financial
Commission at Athens. One could imagine among other combinations,
a Provisional International Commission, charged with the duty of
controlling the police inquiry demanded by Austria; it was clear,
by this instance, that the reply of Serbia opened the door to
conversations and did not justify a rupture.

"I then asked the Secretary of State if, leaving aside direct
conversations between Vienna and St. Petersburg to which Sir E.
Grey had given his adherence, he did not think that common action
could be exercised by the four powers by means of their
ambassadors. He answered in the affirmative, adding that at this
moment the London Cabinet were confining themselves to exercising
their influence in support of direct conversations."

He gave a summary of the interview between Bethmann-Hollweg and
British Ambassador Goschen.

"The attitude of the German Chancellor is very probably the
result of the last interview of Sir E. Grey with Ambassador
Lichnowsky. Up to quite the last days they flattered themselves
here that England would remain out of the question, and the
impression produced on the German Government and on the
financiers and business men by her attitude is profound."

Ambassador Dumaine reported from Vienna that he and his British,
Russian, and Italian colleagues agreed that war is now certain
between Austria and Serbia since all attempts to avoid it have
failed. The Italian Ambassador, Duke d'Avarna, said

"it is very probable that the imminence of a general insurrection
among the Southern Slav inhabitants precipitated the resolutions
of the [Dual] Monarchy. He still clings to the hope that, after a
first success of the Austro-Hungarian arms, but not before this,
mediation might be able to limit the conflict."

M. Bienvenu-Martin, Acting Secretary of Foreign Affairs, informed
the ambassadors at London, Berlin, St. Petersburg, Rome, Vienna, and
Constantinople, and the minister to