8 0.9 5.6 2.2
62 1.8 0.9 5.6 2.2
63 1.8 0.9 5.6 2.2
64 1.8 0.9 5.6 2.2
65 1.8 0.9 5.6 2.2
66 1.8 0.9 5.6 2.2
67 1.8 0.9 5.6 2.2
68 1.8 0.9 5.6 2.2
69 1.8 0.9 5.6 2.2
70 1.8 0.9 5.6 2.2
71 1.8 0.9 5.6 2.2
72 1.8 0.9 5.6 2.2
73 1.8 0.9 5.6 2.2
74 1.8 0.9 5.6 2.2
75 1.8 0.9 5.6 2.2

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In 2001, the chances of going to prison were highest among black males
(32.2%)and Hispanic males (17.2%) and lowest among white males (5.9%).
The lifetime chances of going to prison among black females (5.6%) were
nearly as high as for white males. Hispanic females (2.2%) and white
females (0.9%) had much lower chances of going to prison.

As a result of changes in first incarceration and mortality rates
between 1974 and 2001, black males experienced a greater increase in
the chances of going to prison over the course of a lifetime than any
other group (from 13.4% in 1974 to 32.2% in 2001). Hispanic males
experienced the second largest increase (from 4.0% in 1974 to 17.2% in
2001). White males experienced a smaller increase (from 2.2% in 1974 to
5.9% in 2001).

The lifetime chances of going to prison increased more rapidly for
black females (from 1.1% in 1974 to 5.6% in 2001) than for white males.
Hispanic females (from 0.4% in 1974 to 2.2% in 2001) and white females
(from 0.2% in 1974 to 0.9% in 2001) had smaller increases in their
lifetime chances of going to prison.

At every age men have higher chances of going to prison than women, and
blacks and Hispanics have higher chances than whites. Based on current
rates of first incarceration, an estimated 6.7% of black males will
enter State or Federal prison by the time they are age 20, compared to
3.0% of Hispanic males and 0.8% of white males.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

+Methodology+

_Life table techniques_

Life table techniques previously used to illustrate the implications of
prevailing incarceration rates in 1991 have been extended to model the
incarceration experience of actual generations of U.S. residents. (See
Lifetime Likelihood of