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70 19,778,402 ... 377,000 1930-1901 71 or older 23,755,091 ... 384,000 [a] The number of U.S. residents on December 31, 2001, by age, were based on projections for July 1, 2000, and July 1, 2001. (See Projections of the Resident Population by Age, Sex,, Race and Hispanic Origin: 1999 to 2100, U.S. Census Bureau, NP-D1-A, middle series.) The data were adjusted for the undercount in the 1990 decennial census. [b] Based on separate generation life tables starting in the year of birth of the persons at each year of age. (See Appendix tables 2 and 3 for calculations for selected years of birth.) [c] Estimates were calculated by multiplying column (1) by column (2) and rounded to the nearest 1,000. ... Not shown, because all calculations were based on rates for single years of age. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- To model the incarceration experience of the adult resident population in 2001, a separate generation life table was needed for each birth cohort born from 1901 to 1983. For example, of those born in 1980 and alive in 2001, an estimated 1.510% had ever gone to prison (Appendix table 1, column 2). Multiplying by 4,140,721 U.S. residents age 21 in 2001 (column 1), produced an estimate of 63,000 persons, age 21 in 2001, who had ever been incarcerated (column 3). Similarly, the generation life table for the 1970 birth cohort produced an estimated prevalence of 3.584% among those age 31 in 2001. Multiplying by 4,032,301 U.S. residents age 31 in 2001 resulted in an estimated 145,000 persons age 31 in 2001 who had ever been incarcerated. The estimated 5,618,000 adults ever incarcerated in 2001 was obtained by summing the number of persons ever incarcerated, age 18 or older. Dividing by the adult resident population of 210,207,901 yielded an estimated prevalence of ever having gone to prison of 2.673% in 2001. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- +Estimating prevalence of imprisonment in the United States+ To illustrate the application of generation life table techniques resulting in the 1.510% rate of ever having gone to prison among persons born in 1980, consider the following calculations: 1. Estimates of the number of persons in a population of 100,000 born in 1980 who died during each age interval were obtained by multiplying the age-specific mortality
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