that the will of the emperor on the one side, France's
difficulties in Morocco on the other, will be for some time a
guaranty of peace. Be that as it may, their pessimism gives free
play to those who favor war....
"On the other hand there is a war party with leaders and
followers, a press either convinced or subsidized for the purpose
of creating public opinion; it has means both varied and
formidable for the intimidation of the Government. It goes to
work in the country with clear ideas, burning aspirations, and a
determination that is at once thrilling and fixed.
"Those in favor of war are divided into several categories; each
of these derives from its social caste, its class, its
intellectual and moral education, its interests, its hates,
special arguments which create a general attitude of mind and
increase the strength and rapidity of the stream of warlike
desire.
"Some want war because in the present circumstances they think it
is _inevitable_. And, as far as Germany is concerned, the sooner
the better.
"Others regard war as necessary for economic reasons based on
overpopulation, overproduction, the need for markets and outlets;
or for social reasons, i. e., to provide the outside interests
that alone can prevent or retard the rise to power of the
democratic and socialist masses.
"Others, uneasy for the safety of the empire, and believing that
time is on the side of France, think that events should be
brought to an immediate head. It is not unusual to meet, in the
course of conversation or in the pages of patriotic pamphlets,
the vague but deeply rooted conviction that a free Germany and a
regenerated France are two historical facts mutually
incompatible.
"Others are bellicose from 'Bismarckism,' as it may be termed.
They feel themselves humiliated at having to enter into
discussions with France, at being obliged to talk in terms of
law and right in negotiations and conferences where they have not
always found it easy to get right on their side, even when they
have a preponderating force. From their still recent past they
derive a sense of pride ever fed by personal memories of former
exploits, by oral traditions, and by books, and irritated by the
events of recent years. Angry disappointment is the unif
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