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prepares to help Russia, as she is sure to do, Austria can keep Servia and Russia busy, while Germany fulfils her long-held determination to bring France to her knees, and to make her practically her vassal. No one believes that England would interfere. My own belief is that Germany is using the present occasion as the first step towards carrying out her long-cherished ambitions. When once she has conquered France, and commands her sea-board and her navy, she will then be able to crush England, which is her ultimate aim." When the Admiral showed me this letter, I suppose I smiled incredulously, for the old man broke out into violent language. "I believe it's true," he cried. "The Kaiser, for all his pious hypocrisies, is a war devil. He hates the thought that England should be such a World Power, while Germany is only an European Power." "But the Kaiser isn't such a fool," I replied. "He knows England and her strength." "Yes, but he's drunk with pride and arrogance. He thinks Germany is destined to rule the world." A day or so later news came that Servia had consented to all Austria's demands with the exception of two points, and suggested that these should be submitted to the mediation of the Great Powers. "Ah, that clears the air!" I thought; "nothing can be more reasonable." Much to the surprise of every one, news came on July 26 that Austria regarded Servia's answer as unsatisfactory, and that the Austro-Hungarian Minister, with the Legation Staff, had left Belgrade on the previous day. On July 28 I called at Mrs. Nancarrow's house, where I saw Bob reading the newspaper with a smile on his face. "This is fine," he cried--"just fine. What a splendid fellow Sir Edward Grey is! It was he who proposed a Conference in the Turco-Balkan difficulty, and now it is he again who is going to settle this." "I am afraid the Turco-Balkan Conference didn't help much," I replied. "Ah, but this will. After all, what's the heart of the quarrel? The murder of the heir to the Austrian throne. A ghastly affair, I'll admit, but everything can be settled." "Has Admiral Tresize mentioned a letter which he received from Vienna a day or two ago?" I asked. "Yes," replied Bob, "but of course it was pure imagination. Do you know, I admire the Kaiser. He's a good man, a religious man." I coughed. "Of course it is easy to imagine a case against him," he went on lightly; "but it has no foundation in
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