FREE BOOKS

Author's List




PREV.   NEXT  
|<   88   89   90   91   92   93   94   95   96   97   98   99   100   101   102   103   104   105   106   107   108   109   110   111   112  
113   114   115   116   117   118   119   120   121   122   123   124   125   126   127   128   129   130   131   132   133   134   135   136   137   >>   >|  
e with quotations for actual cotton of specified qualities made by their brokers. "Options" and "straddles." We now return to exchange "future" transactions regarded as a genus. In addition to "futures" proper there are "options" and "straddles." Options are single ("puts" or "calls") or double (that is, alternative "puts" or "calls"). The "put" is a right to sell cotton within some specified time in the future at a price fixed in the present, which need not, of course, be exercised. The "call" is similar, but relates to buying. It will be evident that the "put" is a hedge against prices falling, and the "call" a hedge against their rising. The basis of "options" is the same as that of ordinary "futures," i.e. middling American cotton of "no staple," &c. Whether the purchaser of an option gains or loses depends upon the price that he has paid in relation to the gain, if any, that he makes out of his power. The price of options of course varies: that of double options is always highest, but they are little used. A "straddle" is a speculation on the difference between the prices of nearer and more distant futures, which varies from time to time, or on the difference between the prices of different kinds of cotton. An example will make the nature of the straddle clear. Suppose a dealer buys April-May "futures" at 4d. a lb. and sells the same quantity of May-June "futures" at 4-10/64d. a lb. Then, whether prices rise or fall as a whole, he gains if the difference between the two prices becomes less than 10/64d., but if it becomes more, he loses. On the other hand, had the dealer bought May-June at 4-10/64d. and sold April-May at 4d. he would have gained in the event of the difference increasing, and lost in the event of its decreasing. Measures of steadiness in prices. A question which has met with a good deal of attention is whether the speculation, which has been encouraged by the various arrangements made for facilitating operations in "futures," has steadied or unsteadied prices. Before we are prepared to answer this question we must be furnished with a precise conception of what is meant by "steadiness" in prices. It is sometimes assumed that this is measured perfectly by the standard deviation,[6] which is obtained by taking the squares of the differences between the average and the individual prices, summing them and extracting the square root. But obviously the information given by the standard devia
PREV.   NEXT  
|<   88   89   90   91   92   93   94   95   96   97   98   99   100   101   102   103   104   105   106   107   108   109   110   111   112  
113   114   115   116   117   118   119   120   121   122   123   124   125   126   127   128   129   130   131   132   133   134   135   136   137   >>   >|  



Top keywords:

prices

 

futures

 

difference

 
cotton
 

options

 

dealer

 

varies

 

question

 
straddle
 

steadiness


speculation

 
future
 

straddles

 
standard
 

double

 

Options

 

square

 
summing
 

gained

 

bought


extracting

 
information
 

individual

 

decreasing

 

prepared

 

answer

 
deviation
 

Before

 
operations
 

steadied


unsteadied

 

perfectly

 

measured

 

precise

 
conception
 
furnished
 
assumed
 

facilitating

 

arrangements

 

Measures


differences

 

squares

 
average
 

taking

 

obtained

 

encouraged

 
attention
 

increasing

 

highest

 

exercised