ly crude output could reach 200,000 barrels
per day (b/d) by the end of the decade. Since the end of the civil
war in 2003, political turmoil has continued to damage the economy,
resulting in the loss of foreign investment and slow economic
growth. GDP grew by 1.8% in 2006 and 1.7% in 2007. Per capita income
has declined by 15% since 1999.

Croatia
Once one of the wealthiest of the Yugoslav republics,
Croatia's economy suffered badly during the 1991-95 war as output
collapsed and the country missed the early waves of investment in
Central and Eastern Europe that followed the fall of the Berlin
Wall. Since 2000, however, Croatia's economic fortunes have begun to
improve slowly, with moderate but steady GDP growth between 4% and
6% led by a rebound in tourism and credit-driven consumer spending.
Inflation over the same period has remained tame and the currency,
the kuna, stable. Nevertheless, difficult problems still remain,
including a stubbornly high unemployment rate, a growing trade
deficit and uneven regional development. The state retains a large
role in the economy, as privatization efforts often meet stiff
public and political resistance. While macroeconomic stabilization
has largely been achieved, structural reforms lag because of deep
resistance on the part of the public and lack of strong support from
politicians. The EU accession process should accelerate fiscal and
structural reform.

Cuba
The government continues to balance the need for economic
loosening against a desire for firm political control. It has rolled
back limited reforms undertaken in the 1990s to increase enterprise
efficiency and alleviate serious shortages of food, consumer goods,
and services. The average Cuban's standard of living remains at a
lower level than before the downturn of the 1990s, which was caused
by the loss of Soviet aid and domestic inefficiencies. Since late
2000, Venezuela has been providing oil on preferential terms, and it
currently supplies about 100,000 barrels per day of petroleum
products. Cuba has been paying for the oil, in part, with the
services of Cuban personnel in Venezuela, including some 20,000
medical professionals. In 2007, high metals prices continued to
boost Cuban earnings from nickel and cobalt production. Havana
continued to invest in the country's energy sector to mitigate
electrical blackouts that had plagued the country s